Analysts predict that the Reserve Bank of India's interest rate decision, crude oil prices, and global bond yields will be the primary factors influencing the Indian stock market this week, alongside macroeconomic data and foreign investor activity.
Rising bond yields in the US and other advanced economies are making it increasingly difficult for Indian equities to attract foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), leading to pressure on valuations and potentially lower returns for domestic investors.
Indian government bond yields have recorded their worst losing streak in three decades, rising for the tenth consecutive week, driven by elevated crude oil prices and increasing global yields. The rupee also weakened, and India's foreign exchange reserves saw a significant decline.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) withdrew Rs 13,138 crore from Indian equities in the first half of September, driven by heightened global uncertainty, rising crude oil prices, firm US bond yields, and a strong dollar, impacting risk appetite.
Higher US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year yield approaching 5 per cent, pose a significant near-term risk to global equity markets, including India, potentially triggering a 'big correction' according to market strategists.
Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) has successfully raised a total of Rs 25,000 crore through domestic bond issues in September, including a recent Rs 13,000 crore 10-year bond at 7.90 per cent, as it prioritises funding certainty amidst expectations of a possible RBI rate hike and rising borrowing costs.
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, closed flat on Friday, with elevated crude oil prices due to geopolitical uncertainties and a rebound in US Treasury yields making investors cautious and preventing a decisive market rally.
Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty extended their losses for a third consecutive day, driven by firm crude oil prices, elevated global bond yields, and significant foreign fund outflows, making investors cautious.
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra reiterated India's cautious stance on cryptocurrencies due to concerns over monetary sovereignty and capital flows, while actively promoting underlying technologies like distributed ledger technology and tokenisation. He also addressed the global rise in public debt and hardening bond yields, attributing it to increased government and private spending, including that driven by AI, and noted the implications of global interest rates on India's monetary policy.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have withdrawn Rs 44,166 crore from Indian equities in October, pushing the total outflows for the year past Rs 3 lakh crore, driven by elevated crude oil prices, a stronger US dollar, higher US bond yields, and the allure of AI-led rallies in North Asian markets.
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, experienced a significant downturn, with Sensex tanking 778 points and Nifty closing at a five-month low, driven by surging crude oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and fears of further interest rate hikes by major central banks.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) turned net sellers in the first week of September, withdrawing Rs 7,443 crore from Indian equities, driven by rising crude oil prices, increasing US bond yields, and a strong dollar.
From the Sensex firms, Mahindra & Mahindra, Bajaj Finserv, Tech Mahindra, Power Grid, ITC, Hindustan Unilever, Reliance Industries and Maruti were the biggest laggards. IndusInd Bank, Bharti Airtel and UltraTech Cement were the gainers.
JP Morgan's decision last week to include Indian government bonds in its Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM) index and the index suite from June 2024 may be a sort of blessing for India, as the move is estimated to result in an inflow of $25 billion of foreign portfolio investments into the country. The development comes at a time when the spread between the benchmark 10-year government of India bond and the 10-year US government bond has declined to its lowest level in more than 17 years. Low yield spreads make Indian bonds less attractive to foreign portfolio investors (FPIs).
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, experienced a sharp decline, with the Sensex tumbling 1,247.71 points and the Nifty settling below 23,100, primarily driven by a significant spike in crude oil prices and weak global market trends.
Indian benchmark equity indices, the Sensex and Nifty, bounced back significantly, with the Sensex climbing 628 points and the Nifty snapping its seven-day losing streak, driven by easing global bond yields and fresh foreign fund inflows.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) became net sellers in September, withdrawing Rs 35,860 crore from Indian equities due to global uncertainties, high US interest rates, and elevated crude oil prices, with outflows continuing into October.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have withdrawn nearly Rs 5,109.21 crore from Indian government securities under the fully accessible route (FAR) in just three days, driven by global uncertainty, elevated crude prices, rising US Treasury yields, and a depreciating rupee.
The Indian equity market valuation has been moving in tandem with the US 10-year treasury yield. While the benchmark US bond yield has witnessed a nearly 70 basis point decline since the end of October this year, dropping from 4.93 per cent to 4.23 per cent on Friday, the Sensex earnings yield has slipped by nearly 45 basis points - from 4.5 per cent to 4.05 per cent. Previously, Indian equities' earnings yields rose in sync with the US bond yields.
Indian benchmark stock indices, Sensex and Nifty, experienced a significant drop on Monday, with the Sensex falling by nearly 548 points, primarily due to a fresh spike in crude oil prices, persistent foreign fund outflows, and rising bond yields.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have withdrawn Rs 20,974 crore from Indian equities in September, driven by global uncertainties, higher US interest rates and bond yields, elevated crude oil prices, and a weakening rupee.
Indian equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty experienced a decline in early trade, primarily due to a sell-off in power and metal stocks, mirroring a broader downturn across Asian markets. Elevated crude oil prices and firm US bond yields further dampened investor sentiment, while an expert warned of an impending correction in overvalued mid and small-cap segments. Track Sensex, Nifty on October 22.
Indian stock markets closed lower due to selling in IT and FMCG shares, triggered by renewed tensions in West Asia which led to a rally in crude oil prices and concerns over inflation and interest rates.
'India is collateral damage. There is no way that foreign investors are going to bring money in India despite our yields also going up.'
Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty experienced a significant slump in early trade, mirroring a bearish trend in global equities, as escalating conflict in West Asia drove up crude oil prices and intensified investor concerns.
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, closed lower on Tuesday, with the Sensex declining 329.91 points to 74,529.08 and the Nifty dipping 85.30 points to 23,329, primarily dragged by underperformance in IT, financial, and capital goods stocks despite positive global market trends and easing crude oil prices.
Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty experienced volatile trading, influenced by elevated crude oil prices, high US bond yields, and selling pressure in IT stocks, despite an early rebound.
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, saw an early rebound after significant losses, driven by value buying, though elevated oil prices and anticipation of the US Federal Reserve's policy decision tempered gains. Track Sensex, Nifty on September 16.
Indian stock market investors are closely monitoring crude oil prices, geopolitical developments in West Asia, and the implications of the US Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, which could impose tariffs on countries, including India, that purchase Russian crude.
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, recorded their fourth consecutive day of losses, driven by relentless foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, rising bond yields, and a significant surge in crude oil prices, impacting overall investor sentiment.
Indian benchmark equity indices, Sensex and Nifty, rebounded in early trade after a three-day slide, driven by strong buying in blue-chip bank stocks and a firm trend in global markets, supported by easing US bond yields and record foreign-currency deposit inflows.
Indian stock markets experienced a significant downturn, with the Sensex plunging 1,124 points to a six-month low and the Nifty closing below 22,800, driven by surging crude oil prices, escalating geopolitical uncertainties, and weak global market trends.
Despite the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) and the government's recent initiatives to attract foreign capital, which are expected to alleviate pressure on long-duration bonds, most debt fund managers are maintaining a cautious stance, favouring shorter-duration papers due to global uncertainties and potential future rate hikes.
The Reserve Bank of India's recent measures, including a dedicated dollar window for state-run oil marketing companies and tightened foreign exchange derivative rules, are expected to provide near-term relief to the rupee's depreciation, but market participants believe global factors and balance of payment dynamics will continue to exert pressure in the medium term.
Indian equity benchmark indices extended losses for a second consecutive session, with the Sensex dropping 143 points, driven by a sell-off in power, banking, and financial stocks, coupled with elevated crude oil prices and persistent FII selling.
Sustained selling by foreign investors is weighing on domestic equities, with the benchmark Sensex and Nifty 50 down 15.60 per cent and 14.4 per cent, respectively, this year.
Indian benchmark equity indices, Sensex and Nifty, experienced declines in early trade due to elevated crude oil prices and persistent geopolitical uncertainties, particularly following the expiry of the US-Iran ceasefire. Track Sensex, Nifty on August 19, 2026.
Indian benchmark stock indices, Sensex and Nifty, rallied significantly, with Sensex jumping over 1,500 points and Nifty reaching a nearly three-week high, driven by strong buying in banking, IT, and Reliance Industries stocks, alongside easing crude oil prices.
Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty opened higher, extending gains from the previous session, driven by a rally in global markets and a slight cooling in crude oil prices. Optimism around a potential meeting between US and Iranian presidents also contributed to positive sentiment.Later both indices pared gains and were trading in red. Track Sensex, Nifty on September 22.
...exceeding their 49,340 crore equity selloff.
